Look what my wife *almost* won

[bobbysbackup]

My wife was playing Double Dueces poker this evening... look how close she came to hitting the jackpot:



Too bad they weren't in the right order!

[Jeffer]

Dang.  I have to say I've never seen one that close.

[smiles29]

WOW!!!!!!!!!  that is really close. 

from my understanding i dont think it matters what order its in, but it does all have to be a royal flush and spell it out.  i could be wrong, but i dont know.  good luck though.  O0

[Jeffer]

The Royal has to be sequential (10,J,Q,K,A) and in spades and all the cards need the "JACKPOT" printing on them.
Only Pogo knows how often the Video Poker deals a spade card with a JP on it.

I'd guess the odds of hitting the jp are in the tens of millions to one.

[smiles29]

things that make you go hmmmmmmmm in the night.

[Jeffer]

You all realize I'm going to sit down on a slow afternoon and work it out.... 8)

[bobbysbackup]

Yep, Jeffer is right.  But, that doesn't stop me from playing Video Poker....  I'm pretty good at it, and follow basic video poker strategy when playing, BUT, I always  disregard that policy if ANY of the jackpot cards are in their proper location.

If remember my college statistics from way back, I would imagine the odds of hitting the jackpot would be 1:(52*51*50*49*48*2*2*2*2*2) or 1 chance out of 9,980,006,400.  The *2's in there are because each royal spade card has a 50:50 chance of being a jackpot card.  So, basically you have a 1 in 10 BILLION chance of winning the video poker jackpot (IF I've done my math right...) on the first spin... then, it would get much more complicated to figure out the odds on the redeal (and I don't feel like calculating it at 2:00am at night!)  But, it would still be a huge number.  And you thought the Mega Millions lottery was tough  and it's odds are *only* 1:135,145,920...  AND you win MILLIONS there, and not the measly $4,999 max that Pogo gives you!

[Jeffer]

Your math is right.  You obviously paid attention in your college stats classes.

I could write quite a bit about Video Poker Odds.  But I'll just say I know some people who do this stuff for a living, and it's harder that it looks when you take draws into account.  I'll ask them early next week. 

[pogoisevil]

Well, no jackpot (bummer) :-[ .....but congrats to yer wife on winning the 10K tokies!! O0

[Jeffer]

OK.  the number I've initially came up with is 1,024,000,000 to one.  Better odds than bobby's number but still not good.....

1.01 percent of Royal flushes are sequential.  Then adding in it has to be in spades and bobby's multiplier and you get this number.  More or less.  I'd try to get a more accurate number but when you get past a billion who really cares???

[avs1roy33]

well, someone wins those poker jackpots....the jackpot right now is only $740.

[smiles29]

ya'll "mathletes"  like to take all the fun out of things huh ?     ???

[smiles29]

thats right.  very good point barbara.  :P

[Jeffer]

Hey I bought $20 in powerball tickets yesterday...

If you don't play the odds are 0.  ;D

[Homer]

Nope. >:(

[Jeffer]

$0.  ::)

Although, I'm sure I got $20 in entertainment thinking about what I'd do with the money.

I'd make a really good millionaire.  8)

[smiles29]

awww.  so sorry barbara.

[Jeffer]

I just noticed that.

The numbers I got off the fortune cookies did zilch on Wednesday.

I should get my money back from PF Changs....

Good luck to everyone!!

[sdunkin]

wow